Here are some key reasons:
- 66% of Republicans who plan to vote are very excited about voting in the Special Election, but only 48% of the Democrats who plan to vote are very excited.
- Independents view Brown favorably as opposed to unfavorably with a 70% to 16% split. In the election with Coakley, 63% favor Brown over 31% who favor Coakley. But clearly large numbers of those who plan to vote for Coakley nonetheless view Brown favorably, dampening their enthusiasm for Coakley.
- 59% of Massachusetts independents oppose Obamacare, while only 27% support it.
- Obama won Massachusetts by a margin of 26%, but voters who plan to vote in the Special Election only gave him a 16% margin.
- Many Massachusetts voters plan to vote for the party out of power.
- The 20% of voters who dislike both major parties plan to give Brown a lead of 74% to 21%.
- Among all likely voters, Brown is viewed favorably by 57% and negatively by 25%. The 32% difference compares to Republican Bob McDonnell's favorability difference of 20%, yet he won in Virginia with a 17% margin.
- Surprisingly, given that registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by a 3 to 1 ratio, about half of the state's voters are independents.
- Democrat Gov. Deval Patrick is not popular and faces a tough re-election campaign in 2010, despite winning easily in 2006.
Scott Brown is not exactly either a great libertarian or a great conservative, but he is from Taxachusetts, so what can you expect. At least he will break that Democrat 60-vote filibuster-proof block in the Senate and he may be able to stop Obamacare. These are such important causes, that you should seriously consider donating his campaign money, as I have.