ObamaCare and the Close Races for Seats in the House

1 Nov 2010 Update: DEM Seats: 2 Safe DEM became Likely DEM, 3 Likely DEM became Leans DEM, 9 Leans DEM became Toss-up, 1 Leans DEM became Leans GOP, 4 Toss-ups became Leans GOP, 2 Leans GOP became Likely GOP, 3 Leans GOP became Toss-ups, 2 Toss-ups became Leans DEM;  GOP Seats: 1 Likely GOP became Leans GOP.  The change is the DEM Seats moved 17 categories toward the GOP advantage, while GOP Seats moved 1 category to the DEM advantage.  The shift remains continuous toward the Republicans.  I now expect the GOP to pick up 68 seats in the House.


25 Oct 2010 Update: DEM Seats: 2 Likely DEM became Leans DEM, 3 Leans DEM became Toss-ups, 10 Toss-ups become Leans GOP, 1 Leans GOP becomes Likely GOP, 1 Leans GOP becomes Toss-up, 2 Toss-ups become Leans DEM, 1 Leans DEM becomes Likely DEM, GOP Seats:  No Changes.  The sum of the Safe GOP, Likely GOP, and Leans GOP seats would give the GOP 222 seats, or 4 more than the majority.  I expect the GOP to win about 20 of the 34 Toss-up seats given the momentum of more and more DEM seats becoming more and more at risk.  The GOP should gain about 64 seats and have 242 seats in the next session of the House of Representatives!


19 Oct 2010 Update:  DEM Seats: 2 Likely DEM became Leans DEM, 4 Leans DEM became Toss-ups, 1 Toss-up became Leans GOP; GOP Seats: 1 Leans DEM became Toss-up, 1 Likely GOP became Leans GOP.  Mostly Democrat seats continue to move toward being more contested.  The situation for GOP seats is more static and it remains true that they are not moving seats into Likely GOP or into Safe GOP. 

16 Oct 2010 Update:  DEM Seats: 9 Safe DEM became Likely DEM, 3 Likely DEM became Leans DEM, 3 Leans DEM became Toss-ups, 2 Toss-ups became Leans GOP,  1 Toss-up became Leans DEM, 1 Leans GOP became a Toss-up, GOP Seats: 1 Toss-up became a Leans DEM.  The change is that fewer and fewer Democrat seats are safe, but that the Republicans cannot lock additional seats as safe.  Apparently the People are sending the message they are unhappy with the DEMS but not so sure about the GOP either.

12 Oct 2010 Update:  DEM Seats: 3 Safe DEM became Likely DEM, 2 Likely DEM became Leans DEM, One Leans DEM became Toss-up, One Toss-up became Leans GOP, and one Leans GOP became Likely GOP, GOP Seats:  One Likely GOP became Leans GOP,  The change remains massively in GOP favor!

11  Oct 2010 Update:  DEM Seats: 2 Safe DEM became Likely DEM, 1 Likely DEM became Leans DEM, GOP Seats:  No changes, The change favors the GOP.

7 Oct 2010 Update:  DEM Seats: 2 Safe Seats became DEM Likely, 3 Leans DEM became Toss-ups, 2 Toss-ups became Leans GOP, 1 Leans GOP became Likely GOP, 1 Likely GOP became Leans GOP, GOP Seats: 1 Leans DEM became Toss-up, The change favors the GOP.

The single most egregious act of Obama and the Democrat Congress was the passage of ObamaCare. This act implements the planned theft of every American's body and the imposition of a tyrannical control by bureaucrats over who lives and who dies.  The most important outcome of the election in November is to put control of the House of Representatives in the hands of Representatives who will use the power of the House to initiate expenditures to prevent the funding of ObamaCare.  Steve King, a Republican Representative from Iowa, has made a motion to discharge a number of committees from considering H.R. 4972 to repeal ObamaCare.  Most, but not all, Republican members of the House have signed this motion.  Only one Democrat has signed it, that being Gene Taylor, of Mississippi, who is in a tight race to retain his seat.  I have put the name of the Republican opponent to those who voted for ObamaCare at the end of the line for each of the tyrannical beasts of the House of Representatives.

RealClearPolitics as of 2 October had the races for the House evaluated as follows:

139 [now 137] [now 135] [now 132] [now 123] [now 121] Seats Safe for Democrats, all of which were Democrat
18 [now 20] [now 21] [now 22] [now 28] [now 26] [now 25] [now 24] Seats Likely Democratic, all of which are held by Democrats now
33 [now 29] [now 30] [now 31] [now 33] [now 30] [now 31] [now 26] Seats Leaning Democrat, all but 3 [2] [3] [2] of which are now held by Democrats
38 [now 39] [now 43] [now 34] [now 40] Seats Rated Toss-ups, all but 1 [2] [1] [2] of which are now held by Democrats
30 [now 33] [now 34] [now 35] [now 37] [now 45] [now 46] Seats that Leans GOP, all but 2 [4] [5] [6] of which are now held by Democrats
14 [now 13] [now 14] [now 15] Seats that are Likely GOP, 9 [8] [7] [6] of which are now held by Republicans
163 Seats Safe for the Republicans

11 races shifted by one category of probability since the original post.  10 of those shifts were favorable to the Republicans.  Only Virginia District 5 moved in favor of the Democrats, shifting from Likely GOP to Leans GOP.

Because Nancy Pelosi had votes to spare on ObamaCare, a few of the Democrat majority from much less socialist districts than hers were given permission to vote against the bill.  Since what matters in the next session of Congress is the defunding of ObamaCare, there is no point in voting for a would-be member of the House who has not announced his intent to relentlessly attack ObamaCare by signing the discharge motion.  For those who want to destroy the tyranny of ObamaCare, it is a very good idea to make campaign contributions to the Republican opponent of the Democrats in close races who either voted for ObamaCare or who have not signed the motion to discharge to indicate they are actual proponents of the repeal of ObamaCare.

Generally speaking, there will be very few Democrats who will ever be useful allies in the critical cause of overturning centrally planned and controlled medical care in the United States, which the pretended fiscal conservativism of the Blue Dog Democrats has proven.  I have indicated which Democrats are in the Blue Dog Caucus, which mostly just means that they pretend to their constituents that they are fiscally conservative and says very little about how they vote in Congress.  In addition, I have identified those who are members of the Democratic Socialists of America Caucus.  Of the 70 socialist Representatives, only 10 are in close races, despite Americans general turn-away from socialism.  These socialist Representatives should be especially targeted. The closely contested races by state are:

Alabama
Bobby Bright, D, 2nd District, Toss-up, No on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender
Parker Griffith, R, 5th District, Likely GOP, No on ObamaCare

Arkansas
Marion Berry, D, 1st District, Leans GOP, No on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender
Mike Ross, D, 4th District, Likely DEM, No on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender
Vic Snyder, D, 2nd District, Likely GOP, No on ObamaCare

Arizona
Gabrielle Giffords, D, 8th District, Toss-up, Yes on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender, Opp. Jesse Kelly
Raul Grijalva, D, 7th District, Toss-up, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Ruth McClung, Was Safe DEM, Was Likely DEM, Was Leans DEM
Ann Kirkpatrick, D, 1st District, Leans GOP, Yes on ObamaCare, Was Toss-up, Opp. Paul Gosar
Harry Mitchell, D, 5th District, Leans GOP, Yes on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender, Opp. David Schweikert
John Shadegg, R, 3rd District, Leans GOP, No on ObamaCare, Signed Motion to Discharge, Was Likely GOP

California
Mary Bono, R, 45th District, Likely GOP, No on ObamaCare, Signed Motion to Discharge
Dennis Cardoza, D, 18th District, Leans DEM, Yes on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender, Opp. Mike Berryhill
Jim Costa, D, 20th District, Leans GOP, Yes on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender, Opp. Andy Vidak, Was Toss-up
Daniel Lungren, R, 3rd District, Leans GOP, No on ObamaCare, Signed Motion to Discharge
Jerry McNerney, D, 11th District, Leans GOP, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. David Harmer, Was Toss-up
Loretta Sanchez, D, 47th District, Leans DEM, Yes on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender, Opp. Van Tran

Colorado
Betsy Markey, D, 4th District, Leans GOP, Yes on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender, Opp. Cory Gardner
Ed Perlmutter, D, 7th District, Leans DEM, Yes on ObamaCare,  Opp. Ryan Frazier
John Salazar, D, 3rd District, Toss-up, Yes on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender, Opp. Scott Tipton

Connecticut
Joe Courtney, D, 2nd District, Likely DEM, Yes on ObamaCare, Was Safe DEM, Opp. Janet Peckinpaugh
Jim Hines, D, 4th District, Toss-up, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Dan Debicella, Was Leans DEM
John Larson, D, 1st District, Likely DEM, Yes on ObamaCare, Was Safe DEM, Opp. Ann Brickley
Christopher Murphy, D, 5th District, Toss-Up, Yes on ObamaCar, Was Leans DEM, Opp. Sam Caligiuri

Florida
Allen Boyd, D, 2nd District, Leans GOP, Yes on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender, Opp. Steve Southerland, Was Toss-up
Mario Diaz-Balart, R, 25th District, Leans GOP, No on ObamaCare, Signed Motion to Discharge, Was Likely GOP
Alan Grayson, D, 8th District, Leans GOP, Yes on ObamaCare, Democratic Socialists of America Caucus, Opp. Dan Webster
Ron Klein, D, 22nd District, Leans GOP, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Allen West, Was Toss-up
Suzanne Kosmas, D, 24th District, Leans GOP, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Sandy Adams
Adam Putnam, R, 12th District, Likely GOP, No on ObamaCare, Signed Motion to Discharge

Georgia
John Barrow, D, 12th District, Likely DEM, No on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender
Sanford Bishop, D, 2nd District, Leans DEM, Yes on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender, Opp. Mike Keown
Jim Marshall, D, 8th District, Leans GOP, No on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender, Was Toss-up

Hawaii
Charles Djou, R, 1st District, Toss-up, Special Election after ObamaCare Vote, Was Leans DEM

Idaho
Walt Minnick, D, 1st District, Toss-up, No on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender, Was Likely DEM

Illinois
Melissa Bean, D, 8th District, Leans DEM, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Joe Walsh
Bill Foster, D, 14th District, Leans GOP, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Randy Hultgren, Was Toss-up
Phil Hare, D, 17th District, Leans GOP, Yes on ObamaCare, Democratic Socialists of America Caucus, Opp. Bob Schilling, Was Toss-up
Deborah Halvorson, D, 11th District, Likely GOP, Yes on ObamaCar, Was Leans GOP, Opp. Adam Kinzinger
Mark Kirk, R, 10th District, Toss-up, No on ObamaCare, Running for Senate, Was Toss-up, Was Leans DEM

Indiana
Joe Donnelly, D, 2nd District, Toss-up, Yes on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender, Opp. Jackie Walorski, Was Leans DEM

Brad Ellsworth, D, 8th District, Leans GOP, Yes on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender, Opp. Larry Bucshon
Baron Hill, D, 9th District, Leans GOP, Yes on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender, Opp. Todd Young, Was Toss-up

Iowa
Leonard Boswell, D, 3rd District, Leans DEM, Yes on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender, Opp. Brad Zaun, Was Toss-up
Bruce Braley, D, 1st District, Leans DEM, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Ben Lange, Was Leans DEM, Was Toss-up
David Loebsack, D, 2nd District, Leans DEM, Yes on ObamaCare, Democratic Socialists of America Caucus, Opp. Mariannette Miller-Meeks

Kansas
Dennis Moore, D, 3rd District, Likely GOP, Yes on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender, Opp. Kevin Yoder, Was Leans GOP

Kentucky
Ben Chandler, D, 6th District, Toss-up, No on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender, Was Leans DEM
John Yarmuth, D, 3rd District, Leans DEM, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Todd Lally

Louisiana
Joseph Cao, R, 2nd District, Leans DEM, No on ObamaCare
Charlie Melancon, D, 3rd District, Likely GOP, No on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender

Maine

Michael Michaud, D, 2nd District, Toss-up, Yes on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender, Opp. Jason Levesque, Was Leans DEM
Chellie Pingree, D, 1st District, Toss-up, Yes on ObamaCare, Democratic Socialists of America Caucus, Opp. Dean Scontras, Was Leans DEM

Maryland
Frank Kratovil, D, 1st District, Leans GOP, No on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender

Massachusetts

William Delahunt, D, 10th District, Toss-up, Yes on ObamaCare, Retiring, Opp. Jeff Perry
Barney Frank, D, 4th District, Leans DEM, Yes on ObamaCare, Democratic Socialists of America Caucus, Opp. Sean Bielat, Was Likely DEM
John Tierney, D, 6th District, Leans DEM, Yes on ObamaCare, Democratic Socialists of America Caucus, Opp. Bill Hudak
Niki Tsongas, D, 5th District, Leans DEM, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Jon Golvick

Michigan
John Dingell, D, 15th District, Leans DEM, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Rob Steele
Gary Peters, D, 9th District, Toss-up, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Rocky Roczkowski
Mark Schauer, D, 7th District, Toss-up, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Tim Walberg, Was Leans GOP
Bart Stupak, D, 1st District, Leans GOP, Yes on ObamaCare, Retiring, Opp. Dan Benishek

Minnesota
Michele Bachmann, R, 6th District, Likely GOP, No on ObamaCare, Signed Motion to Discharge
James Oberstar, D, 8th District, Toss-up, Yes on ObamaCare, Was Safe DEM, Opp. Chip Cravaack, Was Likely DEM, Was Leans DEM
Timothy Walz, D, 1st District, Likely DEM, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Randy Demmer
Collin Peterson, D, 7th District, Likely DEM, No on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender, Was Safe DEM

Mississippi
Travis Childers, D, 1st District, Leans GOP, No on ObamaCare
Gene Taylor, D, 4th District, Toss-up, No on ObamaCare, Signed Motion to Discharge, Blue Dog Pretender, Was Leans DEM
Benny Thompson, D, 1st District, Likely DEM, Yes on ObamaCare, Democratic Socialists of America Caucus, Opp. Bill Marcy

Missouri
Russ Carnaham, D, 3rd District, Leans DEM, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Ed Martin, Was Likely DEM
Emanuel Cleaver, D, 5th District, Likely DEM, Yes on ObamaCare, Democratic Socialists of America Caucus, Opp. Jacob Turk, Was Safe
Ike Skelton, D, 4th District, Toss-up, No on ObamaCare

Nebraska

Lee Terry, R, 2nd District, Likely GOP, No on ObamaCare, Signed Motion to Discharge

Nevada

Dina Titus, D, 3rd District, Leans GOP, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Joe Heck, Was Toss-up

New Hampshire
Paul Hodes, D, 2nd District, Leans DEM, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Charlie Bass, Was Toss-up
Carol Shea-Porter, D, 1st District, Leans GOP, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Frank Guinta

New Jersey
John Adler, D, 3rd District, Leans GOP, No on ObamaCare, Was Toss-up
Rush Holt, D, 12th District, Leans DEM, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Scott Sipprelle
Frank Pallone, D, 6th District, Likely DEM, Yes on ObamaCar, Was Safe DEM, Opp. Anna Little

New Mexico
Martin Heinrich, D, 1st District, Leans DEM, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Jon Barela, Was Toss-up
Ben Lujan, D, 3rd District, Leans DEM, Yes on ObamaCare, Democratic Socialists of America Caucus, Opp Tom Mullins
Harry Teague, D, 2nd District, Leans GOP, No on ObamaCare, Was Toss-up

New York 
Michael Arcuri, D, 24th District, Toss-up, No on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender, Was Leans DEM
Timothy Bishop, D, 1st District, Toss-up, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Randy Altschuler

John Hall, D, 19th District, Leans GOP, Yes on ObamaCare, Democratic Socialists of America Caucus, Opp. Nan Hayworth, Was Toss-up
Brian Higgins, D, 27th District, Likely DEM, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Lenny Roberto, Was Safe DEM
Maurice Hinchey, 22nd District, Leans DEM, Yes on ObamaCare,  Democratic Socialists of America, Caucus, Opp. George Phillips, Was Safe DEM, Was Likely DEM
Steve Israel, D, 2nd District, Likely DEM, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. John Gomez, Was Safe DEM
Daniel Maffei, D, 25th District, Toss-up, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Ann Marie Buerkle, Was Leans DEM
Michael McMahon, D, 13th District, Toss-up, No on ObamaCare
Carolyn McCarthy, D, 4th District, Likely DEM, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Francis Becker, Was Safe DEM
Scott Murphy, D, 20th District, Leans GOP, Yes on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender, Opp. Chris Gibson, Was Leans DEM
Bill Owens, D, 23rd District, Leans GOP, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Matt Doheny, Was Leans DEM,Was Toss-up

North Carolina
Bob Etheridge, D, 2nd District, Toss-up, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Renee Ellmers, Was Leans DEM
Larry Kissell, D, 8th District, Leans GOP, No on ObamaCare
Mike McIntyre, D, 7th District, Toss-up, No on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender, Was Leans DEM
Brad Miller, D, 13th District, Likely DEM, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Bill Randall, Was Safe DEM
David Price, D, 4th District, Likely DEM, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. B. J. Lawson
Heath Shuler, D, 11th District, Toss-up, No on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender

North Dakota

Earl Pomeroy, D, At-Large, Leans GOP, Yes on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender, Opp. Rick Berg

Ohio 
John Boccieri, D, 16th District, Leans GOP, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Jim Renacci
Steve Driehaus, D, 1st District, Leans GOP, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Steve Chabot
Mary Jo Kilroy, D, 15th District, Likely GOP, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Steve Stivers, Was Leans GOP
Dennis Kucinich, D, 10th District, Likely DEM, Yes on ObamaCare, Democratic Socialists of America Caucus, Opp. Peter Corrigan, Was Safe DEM
Zachary Space, D, 18th District, Leans GOP, No on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender, Was Toss-up
Betty Sutton, D, 13th District, Toss-up, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Tom Ganley
Pat Tiberi, R, 12th District, Likely GOP, No on ObamaCare, Signed Motion to Discharge
Charles Wilson, D, 6th District, Leans DEM, Yes on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender, Opp. Bill Johnson, Was Likely DEM

Oklahoma
Dan Boren, D, 2nd District, Likely DEM, No on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender

Oregon
Peter DeFazio, D, 4th District, Leans DEM, Yes on ObamaCare, Democratic Socialists of America Caucus, Opp. Art Robinson, Was Likely DEM
Kurt Schrader, D, 5th District, Toss-up, Yes on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender, Opp. Scott Bruun
David Wu, D, 1st District, Likely DEM, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Rob Cornilles

Pennsylvania

Jason Altmire, D, 4th District, Leans DEM, No on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender
Christopher Carney, D, 10th District, Leans GOP, Yes on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender, Opp. Tom Marino
Mark Critz, D, 12th District, Toss-up, Special Election since ObamaCare Vote
Kathy Dahlkenper, D, 3rd District, Leans GOP, Yes on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender, Opp. Mike Kelly
Charles Dent, R, 15th District, Leans GOP, No on ObamaCare, Signed Motion to Discharge
Jim Gerlach, R, 6th District, Leans GOP, No on ObamaCare, Signed Motion to Discharge
Tim Holden, D, 17th District, Likely DEM, No on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender, Was Leans DEM

Paul Kanjorski, D, 11th District, Toss-up, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Lou Barletta, Was Leans GOP
Patrick Murphy, D, 8th District, Leans GOP, Yes on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender, Opp. Mike Fitzpatrick
Allyson Schwartz, D, 13th District, Likely DEM, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Carson Adcock, Was Safe DEM
Joe Sestak, D, 7th District, Toss-up, Yes on ObamaCare, Senate Candidate, Opp. Pat Meehan, Was Leans GOP

Rhode Island
Patrick Kennedy, D, 1st District, Toss-up, Yes on ObamaCare, Retiring, Opp. John Loughlin, Was Likely DEM, Was Leans DEM

South Carolina
John Spratt, D, 5th District, Leans GOP, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Mick Mulvaney, Was Toss-up

South Dakota

Herseth Sandlin, At-Large, Leans GOP, No on ObamaCare, Was Toss-up

Tennessee
Jim Cooper, D, 5th District, Likely DEM, Yes on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender, Opp. David Hall
Lincoln Davis, D, 4th District, Toss-up, No on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender, Was Leans DEM
Bart Gordon, D, 6th District, Likely GOP, Yes on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender, Opp. Diane Black
John Tanner, D, 8th District, Likely GOP, No on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender, Was Leans GOP

Texas
Lloyd Doggett, D, 25th District, Likely DEM, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Donna Campbell, Was Safe DEM

Chet Edwards, D, 17th District, Likely GOP, No on ObamaCare, Was Leans GOP
Rube Hinojosa, D, 15th District, Likely DEM, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Eddie Zamora, Was Safe DEM
Solomon Ortiz, D, 27th District, Leans DEM, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. R. Blake Farenthoid, Was Safe DEM, Was Likely DEM 

Ciro Rodriguez, D, 23rd District, Toss-up, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Francisco Canseco

Utah
Jim Matheson, D, 2nd District, Likely DEM, No on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender

Virginia
Rick Boucher, D, 9th District, Toss-up, No on ObamaCare
Gerald Connelly, D, 3rd District, Toss-up, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Keith Fimian
Glenn Nye, D, 2nd District, Leans GOP, No on ObamaCare, Blue Dog Pretender, Was Toss-up
Tom Perriello, D, 5th District, Leans GOP, Yes on ObamaCare, Was Likely GOP, Opp. Robert Hurt

Washington
Brian Baird, D, 3rd District, Toss-up, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Jaime Herrera, Was Leans GOP
Norman Dicks, D, 6th District, Likely DEM, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Douglas Cloud, Was Safe
Rick Larsen, D, 2nd District, Toss-up, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. John Koster, Was Leans DEM
David Reichert, R, 8th District, Leans GOP, No on ObamaCare, Was Likely GOP
Adam Smith, D, 9th District, Toss-up, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Dick Muri, Was Leans DEM

West Virginia
Alan Mollohan, D, 1st District, Toss-up, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. David McKinley
Nick Rahall, D, 3rd District, Leans DEM, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Elliott "Spike" Maynard

Wisconsin
Steve Kagen, D, 8th District, Toss-up, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Reid Ribble
Ron Kind, D, 3rd District, Leans DEM, Yes on ObamaCare, Opp. Dan Kapanke
David Obey, D, 3rd District, Leans GOP, Yes on ObamaCare, Retiring, Opp. Sean Duffy

If you are a Winter Soldier for the equal, sovereign individual rights to life, liberty, property, and the pursuit of happiness, then you will join this desperate fight to kill this brutal, totalitarian threat by ObamaCare to our lives and liberties.  Defunding and then repealing this monstrosity of socialism may very likely save your life or that of some of your loved ones.  There is no better use for the money your work has earned you than to turn it into a fatal weapon against tyranny in this epic battle for American freedoms.  Please give to your fullest possible extent so that we can replace Pelosi as Speaker of the House and proceed to dismantle and repeal ObamaCare.  The dismantling can begin in 2011, though the repeal will require the addition of many more Senators committed to repeal in 2012 and the replacement of Obama with a Republican committed to repealing ObamaCare.