Among the issues most commonly discussed are individuality, the rights of the individual, the limits of legitimate government, morality, history, economics, government policy, science, business, education, health care, energy, and man-made global warming evaluations. My posts are aimed at intelligent and rational individuals, whose comments are very welcome.

"No matter how vast your knowledge or how modest, it is your own mind that has to acquire it." Ayn Rand

"Observe that the 'haves' are those who have freedom, and that it is freedom that the 'have-nots' have not." Ayn Rand

"The virtue involved in helping those one loves is not 'selflessness' or 'sacrifice', but integrity." Ayn Rand

For "a human being, the question 'to be or not to be,' is the question 'to think or not to think.'" Ayn Rand

28 October 2014

Debunking the Progressive Elitist Claim that Minimum Wage Laws Increase Employment

Back during the Great Depression, the Progressive Elitist mantra was that if only companies would pay their employees more, all would be well in the economy.  FDR pressed businessmen on this over and over, while many unemployed people would have been eager to work for less.  Record unemployment lasted for a decade due to this wrongheaded Progressive policy, along with a host of other economically illiterate Progressive policies.

Recently, there have been a host of Progressive Elitist claims that raising the minimum wage results in more employment and an improved economy.  I will address that claim, but first it is important to realize that minimum wage laws are an immoral deprivation of very fundamental and essential individual rights.  Everyone owns their own mind and body.  They have the right to associate with others according to their own choice in the very broadest sense.  Specifically, the right to cooperate with others for economic purposes and to earn a living is a very broad right.  The employer has a right to hire and others have a right to provide their labor under a voluntary agreement between the employer and the employee.  It is this panoply of rights and voluntary choices to cooperate between individuals that the Progressive Elitists want to trample.  They are determined to use force to impose their own imperious will upon others.

A great many Americans believe that it is not practical to be a man of principle, so the moral argument holds no sway with them.  They are determined to march out into a complex world as unprincipled as they can be, but for some vague notion that they want to help the underdog or the greatest number of people.  Now this means they are perfectly willing to hurt many other people and they are willing to substitute their judgment for that of others, even though they may not know those whose judgment is over-ridden and do not know the circumstances that might affect their choices.  As though not knowing the people affected by their directives to the government is not enough, they have to understand the many results set in motion by their directives without the aid of principles.  The simplifying and integrating functions of principles having been given up, the Progressive Elitists are without sufficient rational tools to understand reality and the consequences of their tyranny over others.  The chaotic results seldom match their intentions and are generally harmful to those whose individual rights and choices have been trampled.

 The Democrat Party is on a campaign to see the minimum wage raised in as many locales and states as possible.  They would also like to see the federal minimum wage increased.  There are more and more columns and articles about how some community raised the minimum wage and there was no local economic disaster in this or that town.  More recently, two University of Delaware economists, Saul W. Hoffman and Wai-Kit (Ricky) Shum have claimed there were no negative effects due to increases in the minimum wage in 13 states between 1 January 2011 and 1 January 2014.  This recent study, actually not even complete yet, is supposed to make us forget the history of the last staged increase in the federal minimum wage in 2007, 2008, and 2009.  See Democrats Eat the Young: Minimum Wage Case in Point, where I agree with the old Economics 101 viewpoint that higher wages mean fewer jobs, just as higher prices mean fewer sales.  Joe Conason wrote a recent column calling this a myth and citing the work of Hoffman and Shum as his proof.

Apparently, Conason not only does not know economics, but he does not read very well.  He claims that 13 states raised their minimum wage above the federal minimum wage earlier this year.  This is not true.  Hoffman and Shum looked at the 13 states that raised their minimum wage from 1 January 2011 to 1 January 2014 as noted above and Conason apparently did not even take note of that.

I am going to present some data dealing with the factors that affect the minimum wage impact on a state by state basis and the resulting employment of young people between the ages of 16 and 24 in the table that follows.  One very important point is that the minimum wage impact on a local economy is going to be proportionate to the cost of living in that local economy.  For this reason, as I have often argued, the policy of setting a federal minimum wage is very foolish.  The following table will provide an effective comparative minimum wage adjusted for the differing costs of living on a state by state basis.  One of the things you will see is that many of the states that have increased their minimum wage above the federal minimum wage are actually on an adjusted basis below most of the states whose minimum wage is the federal minimum wage.  If their cost of living adjusted minimum wage is below that of other states who use the federal minimum wage, then they actually have an effectively cheaper youth labor force and the employment of such young people should actually benefit from that cost advantage.


State
Cost of Living
Q2 - 2013
Minimum Wage
2012 ($)
Minimum Wage
Adjusted for
Cost of Living ($)
Unemployment
Ages 16-24
2012 (%)
Mercatus
Economic
Freedom Score
For 2011
Alabama
92.4
7.25
7.85
16.3
31.33
Alaska
131.1
7.75
5.91
14.8
7.21
Arizona
100.8
7.65
7.59
17.6
34.35
Arkansas
91.0
7.25
7.97
17.7
-8.56
California
128.6
8.00
6.22
20.2
-71.82
Colorado
99.7
7.64
7.66
16.7
11.56
Connecticut
133.8
8.25
6.17
17.0
-21.17
Delaware
106.9
7.25
6.78
15.2
24.43
Florida
97.8
7.67
7.84
16.4
21.67
Georgia
92.0
7.25
7.88
20.6
31.89
Hawaii
161.7
7.25
4.48
13.5
-56.36
Idaho
89.4
7.25
8.11
17.3
51.82
Illinois
94.9
8.25
8.69
18.5
-13.19
Indiana
90.0
7.25
8.06
14.9
14.62
Iowa
91.3
7.25
7.94
11.0
18.66
Kansas
91.8
7.25
7.90
13.2
9.03
Kentucky
90.1
7.25
8.05
16.9
5.05
Louisiana
94.2
7.25
7.70
16.7
-7.74
Maine
109.0
7.50
6.88
16.6
-35.51
Maryland
122.3
7.25
5.93
13.4
-17.31
Massachusetts
121.2
8.00
 6.60
12.2
-7.03
Michigan
94.4
7.40
7.84
16.9
-5.36
Minnesota
100.9
7.25
7.19
11.0
-7.79
Mississippi
88.7
7.25
8.17
23.0
-19.25
Missouri
92.9
7.35
7.91
16.1
30.64
Montana
98.4
7.65
7.77
11.1
30.53
Nebraska
88.9
7.25
8.16
8.9
17.35
Nevada
94.9
8.25
8.69
17.6
1.68
New Hampshire
120.2
7.25
6.03
13.4
41.17
New Jersey
129.5
7.25
5.60
18.2
-69.19
New Mexico
92.5
7.50
8.11
12.6
3.50
New York
134.5
7.25
5.39
18.0
-133.59
North Carolina
95.6
7.25
7.58
18.8
12.80
North Dakota
99.7
7.25
7.27
7.2
65.72
Ohio
92.3
7.70
8.34
12.6
-2.54
Oklahoma
90.0
7.25
8.06
10.8
50.10
Oregon
106.9
8.80
8.23
17.9
5.62
Pennsylvania
101.1
7.25
7.17
13.4
0.75
Rhode Island
125.8
7.75
6.16
17.2
-35.89
South Carolina
95.0
7.25
7.63
22.9
22.45
South Dakota
99.7
7.25
7.27
9.9
72.76
Tennessee
89.7
7.25
8.08
13.5
62.12
Texas
91.4
7.25
7.93
13.5
30.52
Utah
93.0
7.25
7.80
11.9
37.72
Vermont
118.3
8.46
7.15
13.1
-39.39
Virginia
95.9
7.25
7.56
16.8
45.10
Washington
101.6
9.04
8.90
16.7
2.69
West Virginia
96.6
7.25
7.51
15.7
-35.97
Wisconsin
95.1
7.25
7.62
12.9
-13.33
Wyoming
99.5
7.25
7.29
12.7
-16.35


Because Democrats are more eager than Republicans generally to raise the minimum wage and Democrat-controlled states are usually higher cost of living states, the small increases in the minimum wage in those Democrat states do not usually make them expensive states in which to hire young people.

Now let us compare the results for those states with an adjusted minimum wage under $6.90 with those having an adjusted minimum wage greater than $7.60:

These states have an adjusted minimum wage under $6.90:

State
COL Adj Min Wage ($)
Unemployment
Ages 16-24 in 2012 (%)
Mercatus Economic
Freedom Score
Alaska
5.91
14.8
7.21
California
6.22
20.2
-71.82
Connecticut
6.17
17.0
-21.17
Delaware
6.78
15.2
24.43
Hawaii
4.48
13.5
-56.36
Maine
6.88
16.6
-35.51
Maryland
5.93
13.4
-17.31
Massachusetts
6.60
12.2
-7.03
New Hampshire
6.03
13.4
41.17
New Jersey
5.60
18.2
-69.19
New York
5.39
18.0
-133.59
Rhode Island
6.16
17.2
-35.89
Average
6.01
15.81
-31.26

The states in blue above have a state minimum wage greater than the federal minimum wage.  Six of the twelve states, or exactly 0.50 of these cheap youth labor states have minimum wages higher than the federal minimum wage.


These states have an adjusted minimum wage over $7.60:

State
COL Adj Min Wage ($)
Unemployment
Ages 16-24 in 2012 (%)
Mercatus Economic
Freedom Score
Arkansas
7.97
17.7
-8.56
Colorado
7.66
16.7
11.56
Florida
7.84
16.4
21.67
Georgia
7.88
20.6
31.89
Idaho
8.11
17.3
51.82
Illinois
8.69
18.5
-13.19
Indiana
8.06
14.9
14.62
Iowa
7.94
11.0
18.66
Kansas
7.90
13.2
9.03
Kentucky
8.05
16.9
5.05
Louisiana
7.70
16.7
-7.74
Michigan
7.84
16.9
-5.36
Mississippi
8.17
23.0
-19.25
Missouri
7.91
16.1
30.64
Montana
7.77
11.1
30.53
Nebraska
8.16
8.9
17.35
Nevada
8.69
17.6
1.68
New Mexico
8.11
12.6
3.50
Ohio
8.34
12.6
-2.54
Oklahoma
8.06
10.8
50.10
Oregon
8.23
17.9
5.62
South Carolina
7.63
22.9
22.45
Tennessee
8.08
13.5
62.12
Texas
7.93
13.5
30.52
Utah
7.80
11.9
37.72
Washington
8.90
16.7
2.69
Wisconsin
7.62
12.9
-13.33
Average
8.04
15.51
14.42


In these expensive adjusted minimum wage states, 11 of the 27 states or 0.41 of them have minimum wages set higher than the federal minimum wage.  So, in 2012 a larger fraction of the actually inexpensive states had a minimum higher than the federal minimum wage compared to the expensive adjusted minimum wage states.  Despite having the advantage of a slightly cheaper effective minimum wage, the states with an adjusted minimum below $6.90 had a slightly higher youth unemployment rate of 15.81% compared to the effectively more expensive youth wage states with an unemployment rate of 15.51%.

Why were these inexpensive youth wage states not better at employing youth?  The answer lies in the last column in which I have provided the Mercatus Center state economic freedom rating for 2011 from their Freedom in the 50 States, 2013 Edition.   All of the inexpensive states have costs of living greater than the national average.  This is usually associated with a dense population and/or with Democrat Party control.  The average Mercatus Center economic freedom rating of -31.26 is very low compared to that of the expensive youth wage state freedom rating of 14.42.  Youth employment tends to be better when businesses thrive and businesses definitely thrive better with greater economic freedom.  People at the minimum wage level are the least productive workers in the economy, so their effect on how the economy flourishes is rather small.  The effect of a flourishing economy on them is much greater!

Now let us examine the list of 13 states that increased their minimum wage between 1 January 2011 and 1 January 2014.  These were the states examined by Hoffman and Shum.  The average cost of living index in these states is 110.2 and the adjusted minimum wage is just $7.55.


State
Min. Wage($)
1 Jan 2014
Cost of Living Index 2013
Adjusted Min. ($) Wage for COL
Mercatus Center Economic Freedom
Arizona
7.90
100.8
7.84
34.35
Colorado
8.00
99.7
8.02
11.56
Connecticut
8.70
133.8
6.50
-21.17
Florida
7.93
97.8
8.11
21.67
Missouri
7.50
92.9
8.07
30.64
Montana
7.90
98.4
8.03
30.53
New Jersey
8.25
129.5
6.37
-69.19
New York
8.00
134.5
5.95
-133.59
Ohio
7.95
92.3
8.61
-2.54
Oregon
9.10
106.9
8.51
5.62
Rhode Island
8.00
125.8
6.36
-35.89
Vermont
8.73
118.3
7.38
-39.39
Washington
9.32
101.6
8.46
2.69
Average
8.25
110.2
7.55
-12.67


These 13 states were compared to the remaining 37 states.  Seven of those remaining states had state minimum wages that were higher than the federal minimum wage.  What is more, since the states with changes had an average cost of living index of 110.2, the 37 remaining states had to have an average cost of living index of 96.4.  If we assume that each of these states had a minimum wage at the federal level of $7.25, the cost of living adjusted average would be $7.52.  This is almost equal to the $7.55 adjusted minimum wage to which Hoffman and Shum are comparing these states.  In fact, the seven states with higher than the federal minimum wage who did not raise their rate in the time-frame of the Hoffman and Shum study more than make up the difference.  Taking their rates into account yields an average adjusted minimum wage for the non-raising set of 37 states to $7.64.

So, Hoffman and Shum are trying to claim that a higher minimum wage does not hurt those states which actually have a slightly lower adjusted minimum wage when you compare them to states with a higher effective minimum wage!  Well, surprise, surprise.  How wrongheaded can you be Hoffman and Shum?

On average, the states that have raised their minimum wage rates above the federal level have done so because of the high cost of living in their state.  This is most definitely not an argument for raising the national minimum wage rate, which would only hurt the lower cost of living states to the advantage of the higher cost of living states.  This would also have the moral effect of hurting the freer states to the advantage of the more enslaved states.

Neither does the Hoffman and Shum comparison tell us anything about whether the increases in the minimum wage in the 13 states they compared to the non-raising 37 states gained or lost relative to the economic results they would have had without raising the minimum wage.  The study is useless on that question.

But from the above table we do see that these minimum wage raising states suffer with low economic freedom ratings.  Their attempt to interfere with voluntary employer-employee cooperation is consistent with that low regard for individual freedom.  We know for sure that the states with more economic freedom do out-perform those states with less economic freedom in terms of job growth and goods and services production growth.

The Hoffman and Shum and the Conason arguments for raising the minimum wage are here shown to leak like a sieve.


23 October 2014

A Clearly Rational Federal Court Decision Against the IRS Rule to Offer Subsidies on Federal ObamaCare Exchanges

Among the cases challenging the IRS rule that subsidies for individuals and tax penalties for non-complying individuals and companies would be administered in all fifty states and the District of Columbia, is the case brought by Scott Pruitt, the Attorney General of the state of Oklahoma.  Oklahoma and 35 other states did not choose to establish PPACA or ObamaCare exchanges, as the PPACA law tried to get them to do by taxing every American, but only allowing individual subsidies in those states establishing an ObamaCare exchange.  Non-complying states were to be penalized with taxes and the loss of any partial return of that tax money in the form of subsidies.  That this was the intent was very clear to those who followed the progress of the PPACA legislation through Congress.

Of course, it was also very clear that PPACA was a revenue bill which violated the constitutional requirement that it originate in the House of Representatives.  It is further clear that the only justification for the collectivist claim that the collective gets to dictate how every American maintains his or her body's and mind's health is based on a claim of collectivist ownership of everyone's mind and body.  This is a very clear and certain violation of the American Principle of a very limited government dedicated only to the protection of the equal, sovereign right of each and every individual to life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness.  I for one am exceedingly furious that the government considers me its slave by depriving me of self-ownership and the right to pursue my own happiness.

United States District Judge Ronald A. White of the Eastern District of Oklahoma ruled on 30 September 2014 that "the IRS Rule is arbitrary, capricious, an abuse of discretion or otherwise not in accordance with law, pursuant to 5 U.S.C. [paragraph] 706(2)(A), in excess of statutory jurisdiction, authority, or limitations, or short of statutory right, pursuant to 5 U.S.C. [paragraph] 706(2)(C), or otherwise is an invalid implementation of the ACA, and is hereby vacated."

Judge Ronald A. White provided a very rational decision, which is very much appreciated in light of the three judge panel in King v. Burwell who decided that they would not help the plaintiff destroy the PPACA by ruling in accordance with the language of the law.  No, instead they decided on the basis of how they claimed Congress intended the law to work while not considering the actual history even of constraints on Congress in forcing the states to comply with handing control over health care insurance to the federal government.  Neither did they consider the actual discussions and trades within Congress needed to acquire even sufficient Democrat votes to pass the bill.  Similarly, the dissenting judge on the three judge panel that vacated the ObamaCare subsidies and tax penalties in Halbig v. Burwell for the District of Columbia Court of Appeals exercised a similar flight of fancy in interpreting the PPACA.

The Honorable Ronald A. White read the bill as written and said that if Congress had intended the bill to operate otherwise, it would have written the bill differently.  What is more, if Congress decides that the application of the law as written is not what it wants, then Congress can readily pass legislation to change the law.  This is exactly the way a rational person would expect laws to be applied.  Neither the IRS nor the federal courts are the legislative body and neither has the constitutional power to enact or to change laws.  How the 3-judge panel of the 4th Circuit Court that decided the King v. Burwell case could have decided that the law was ambiguous is incredible.  What is more, if it were ambiguous, then it is up to Congress, not the IRS, to eliminate any such ambiguity.  Ridiculous consequences would result from any other principle and the People would lose all power to control any government operating as the 4th Circuit Court ruled government should work.

Unfortunately, the entire District of Columbia Circuit Court decided to rule on Halbig v. Burwell and the Democrat appointed judges are now in the majority on that Circuit Court.  They will hear the case in December.  What is more, the decision by the Honorable Ronald A. White will be appealed to the entire 10th Circuit Court on which 7 of the 12 judges were appointed by Democrats.  The case of Indiana v. IRS is also yet to be decided.  Given the otherworldly ability of Democrat-appointed judges to misinterpret clear English and to ignore the history of the passage of this law, the People of the United States may not be relieved of the ObamaCare tyranny.

But, the state of Oklahoma, Governor Mary Fallin of Oklahoma, Attorney General Scott Pruitt of Oklahoma, and the Honorable Ronald A. White of the United States District Court for the Eastern District of Oklahoma have all proved themselves Heroes for in their efforts to preserve the rights of the individual in this desperate fight to protect self-ownership against the brutal onslaught of ObamaCare.



17 September 2014

Obama Cannot Kill King Coal

Some time ago I wrote an article called King Coal Will Continue to Rule the World.  To follow up on that with aspects of the current situation let us note that:
  • Japanese demand for natural gas increased greatly following the Fukushima disaster.  This fueled an increase in natural gas prices throughout Asia and Europe.
  • With natural gas prices so high in Europe, where little fracking is taking place, natural gas is affordable for energy production for electricity only during peak demand periods.
  • What is affordable in Europe and elsewhere is American coal.  US coal exports increased from 50.1 billion tons six years ago to 129 billion tons.  This is an increase by a factor of 2.57 times!
  • If you buy into the garbage idea that man's CO2 emissions have a catastrophic impact by causing severe global warming, is it really better that US coal be burned around the rest of the world and not in the electric generating plants of the US?  Does it really make sense for us to increase our electricity costs by not using coal so the rest of the world can lower their costs by using American coal?
  • If you believe that coal-fired power plants produce very harmful emissions such as mercury and sulfur, is it better to have our coal burned in power plants most of which are not as well scrubbed as our power plants?  Of course, I have shown that mercury is not the problem our EPA has made it out to be here and here.

15 September 2014

Prof. Walter E. Williams on the State of American Blacks

Professor Walter E. Williams, George Mason University, asks these very challenging questions of those who believe in the politically correct viewpoint of the Progressive Elitist and of those who simply do not think about such issues:

"Is the reason the black family was far healthier in the late-1800s and 1900s  because back then there was far less racial discrimination and greater opportunities?  Or, did what experts call "legacy of slavery" wait several generations to victimize today's blacks?"

When I ask similar questions, I am very frequently called a racist, though I am merely making the inquiries any rational person with a minimal knowledge of history and a normal respect for the abilities of one's fellow man would.  Even Prof. Williams is presented with a problem on how to get readers to acquire sufficient knowledge that he can ask these questions without having them simply dismiss him and the remainder of his article.  He provides several paragraphs of relevant black history in America before he chances posing these questions.  Those of us with such viewpoints as Prof. Williams are very much aware of the ignorance of those who vehemently claim the state of American blacks is explained by the "legacy of slavery."

His article is one that very much needs to be read by most "educated Americans", who are most noteworthy for their university-programed ignorance.  Our universities almost never have the intellectual integrity and courage to ask the questions Prof. Williams asks in this article.  They are unwilling to demonstrate how absurd the politically correct viewpoint is in the light of history, whereas Prof. Williams is a man of admirable courage and integrity.
He also does his homework.  All you have to do is read and a wee bit of thinking.  Of course, you are also welcome to check up on his facts.

If he is wrong about his facts, I want to hear about it.  I would not bet that he is, given that the formidable Dr. Thomas Sowell has a very similar viewpoint.  And while this may mean nothing to the reader, so did the highly esteemed Virginia Baker of Norfolk, Virginia.

05 September 2014

The Significance of the NASA SABER Observation of a Massive Solar Storm for Catastrophic Man-Made Global Warming



Recent observations of the effects of a massive solar storm on the Earth’s atmosphere made by NASA using the SABER instrument on the TIMED satellite have very important implications for the two main classes of hypotheses backing the idea of catastrophic man-made global warming.  During this solar storm, gigantic quantities of energy were dumped into the Earth’s upper atmosphere by highly energetic particles.  The SABER instrument measures the infrared emissions from the Earth’s upper atmosphere.  The NASA measurements of those infrared emissions during the solar storm showed that 95% of the energy dumped into the upper atmosphere was quickly re-emitted into space.  There was no significant warming of the Earth’s surface.
The significance with respect to the various man-made global warming hypotheses of this observation has often not been well-explained by critics of catastrophic AGW.  The fact that the energy arrives in the atmosphere as energetic particles has often been glossed over in such commentaries, yet this is very important.  The energy of the solar storm is not of the same nature as the mix of UV, visible light, and near and mid infrared radiation which provides the Earth with heat energy on a daily basis.  Though this important difference exists, the results of the solar storm energy measurements by NASA are still crucially significant for one of the principal global warming hypotheses and somewhat significant for the other main AGW hypothesis.
There are two standard hypotheses for the global warming mechanism that CO2 is supposed to provide at a catastrophic level:
1)  A large back-radiation effect near the Earth surface caused by water vapor and CO2, which warms the surface.  This warming effect is supposed to be so large that it provided about a 33C temperature increase at the surface decades ago and this is now increasing due to added CO2.
2)  A delay or decrease in radiation lost to space from the upper troposphere or stratosphere caused by increased CO2 and NO.
As I have discussed many times on my blog, most recently in Simple Explanation of Why Greenhouse Gases Do Not Warm the Earth’s Surface, back-radiation at the Earth’s surface is insignificant because the mean free path for the infrared radiation absorptions of water vapor and carbon dioxide are very short and the corresponding temperature differences between the surface and the lower few meters of the atmosphere are therefore very small.  The smaller than claimed infrared radiation from the surface is very quickly absorbed and distributed to nitrogen, oxygen, and argon in the air due to the very high collision rate in the lower atmosphere.  These primary air molecules do not radiate this energy and it is then mostly transported by convection upward or toward the poles.  Water vapor and CO2 actually slightly increase the rate of energy transport upward following the downward temperature and density gradients.  The generation of water vapor at the surface is a powerful cooling effect, though at night this may be reversed by condensation.  Water and CO2 absorb incoming solar radiation and prevent it reaching the surface, which is a cooling effect.  At night, fog and clouds slow down cooling by scattering and absorbing infra-red radiation.  Yet, averaged over the daily cycle, the net effect of all the greenhouse gases on the surface temperature is small compared to the claimed 33C effect.  Much the greatest of that smaller effect is due to water vapor and not to carbon dioxide.  Thus Hypothesis 1 fails to make physical sense.  As more and more proponents of catastrophic AGW have realized this failure, they have turned to the second hypothesis as the justification for AGW.
Hypothesis 2 also fails.  See: Does Increased CO2 Cause a Decrease in Infrared Emission to Space?  Once again the lack of a significant temperature gradient in the upper troposphere for radiation purposes and no temperature gradient in the tropopause is one significant  problem for this hypothesis.   It is hard to change the temperature much of the CO2 emitters.  Another problem is that more and slightly warmer infrared emitters causes any warming in the upper atmosphere to be reduced because more emitters are sending individually increased radiation into space.  For the same reasons that Hypothesis 1 fails, it is also not possible for the warming CO2 absorbers to transmit energy back to the Earth's surface by radiation, so any effect of warming remains in the upper atmosphere.  The major significance of the NASA SABER measurements on how effectively CO2 and NO eliminated the energy of the solar storm is that this is confirmation of my argument that Hypothesis 2 fails.  A local warming high in the atmosphere does not result in a warming of the surface of the Earth.  Indeed, the infrared gases are highly effective in cooling the atmosphere, especially in the upper atmosphere where the mean free path for infrared absorption by CO2 and NO is longer than near sea level.
As I initially pointed out in Slaying the Sky Dragon, the back-radiation effects claimed for infrared active gases were so small that the role of such gases in absorbing solar radiation before it could arrive at the surface of the Earth was a very significant cooling effect of these wrongly designated greenhouse gases.  A warming of the atmosphere thousands of meters above the surface is not an equivalent warming of the surface where we live.  Very little such atmospheric energy is transported to the surface.  This remains true as I have more thoroughly explained more recently here:  Infrared-Absorbing Gases and the Earth’s Surface Temperature: A Relatively Simple Baseline Evaluation of the Physics.

The fact that I have pointed to my own explanations for the failures in the physics of Hypothesis 1 and Hypothesis 2 is not a claim that I am the only scientist who has understood the bad physics of these crucial catastrophic man-made global warming arguments.  Fortunately, more and more scientists have come to understand the physics either wholly or in good part.  More and more scientists have come to understand that the two hypotheses used to explain catastrophic AGW are either wrong or at least dubious.

02 September 2014

Atlas Shrugged Day Commemorates Human Creativity and Productivity

This is an update of a 2 Sep 2010 post:

On September 2, 1946, Ayn Rand began writing Atlas Shrugged and she finished her great novel in time for publication in 1957.  Throughout the novel, September 2 is the date of a number of events:

  • In the opening scene of the novel, a bum asking Eddie Willers for a handout, asks "Who is John Galt?"  This and the way it was asked bother Eddie.  As he walks through NYC he is also bothered by the gigantic calendar hanging from a public tower and announcing the date as September 2.    
  • On that date, Hank Rearden and Dagny Taggart decide to take a vacation together.  On that vacation they discover an abandoned motor that should have revolutionized the use of energy in the world.
  •  Francisco D'Anconia makes his speech on money on September 2.  He proclaims money to be the tool of free trade and the result of noble effort, not the root of evil.  Those who call money evil choose to replace its use with the force of the gun.
  • D'Anconia Copper is nationalized on 2 September, but the date on the calendar is replaced by "Brother, you asked for it!"
So, on this day of 2 September 2014, let us give thanks to Ayn Rand for her incredibly dedicated effort in writing this path-breaking novel we are finding so important in our lives 57 years after its publication date and 68 years after she started it on 2 September 1946.  This should be a day celebrated much as Thanksgiving Day is celebrated, but without any religious overtones, as a day to respect the creativity and productivity of all the heroic men and women that Ayn Rand's heroic novel commemorates.

At the top of our list of most respected heroes and heroines, we should recognize Ayn Rand herself.  Her great achievement is still a vital inspiration for many an intelligent, hardworking, and creative human being.  Those she has so inspired are among the best among us.