This is the monthly update on the real unemployment situation in the USA based on the Bureau of Labor Statistics June 2012 Household Survey Jobs Data.
The data I will use will not be seasonally adjusted, so we will need to
compare June of this year with the unemployment of June 2010 and June
2011 to see if any jobs recovery has occurred. We will also calculate
the number of missing jobs based upon the percentage of the jobs wanted
in January 2000 relative to the working age civilian population
available for work. This excludes people in jail or in institutions for
those in ill health.
The recent history of missing jobs is given in the following chart:
The
number of missing jobs in June 2012 is slightly lower than the number
of missing jobs in June 2011, but it is slightly higher than the number
of missing jobs in June 2010. Just as with every other month so far
this year, if we compare the number of missing jobs to the same month a
year and two years earlier, we find that essentially nothing has
changed.
In contrast, the usual unemployment rate of June
2010 was 9.62%. It fell to 9.32% by June 2011 and still further to the
June 2012 rate of 8.43%. But, this number means little due to the
ever-increasing number of discouraged job seekers. The number of the
reported unemployed fell from June 2010 to June 2011 and again to June
2012. The number of people employed also grew from June to June to June
in that time. However, the population of working age civilians also
grew, so that the 12.80% of missing jobs in June 2010 had actually
increased by June 2011 to 13.30%, before falling in June 2012 to almost
the same percentage as in June 2010 at 12.74%. A 0.06% decrease in the
number of missing jobs in the last two years is no job recovery at all.
This has been the story consistently for the last two and half years.
The
policies of the Obama administration are so wrongheaded that they have
done great damage to the private sector economy and kept companies from
hiring. Government can do little to effectively increase hiring, but it
is excellently capable of destroying jobs and keeping new jobs from
being created. Obama and his Democratic Socialist Party leadership have
been working overtime finding ways to make the future ever more
uncertain for business and in making labor so expensive that business
cannot afford to hire.
John C. Goodman, CEO of the National Center for Policy Analysis, recently testified in the House of Representatives
that ObamaUncaringTax will increase the cost of an employee by
$6/hour. The EPA is causing sizable increases in our electricity costs
and a decrease in electricity reliability, which will cause great harm
to many businesses and will reduce the money individuals can spend on
other goods and services. Many state governments are contributing to
this problem with their mandates that green energy replace fossil fuels
in the electricity supply of their state. Despite a huge supply of oil
and gas in the United States, the Obama administration has done
everything it can to prevent the development of new fields on federal
land and offshore. The Dodd-Frank law has created great uncertainty and
it has kept financial institutions from loaning to small businesses.
Obama and his union henchmen have interfered with employer-employee
relations to the detriment of business. The looming taxes of the
ObamaUncaringTax will take a huge toll, which include a tax surcharge on
individuals with higher incomes and on corporations, in addition to the
penalty taxes. This punitive taxation of higher income individuals is
not enough for Obama and he wants to eliminate their low percentage
decrease part of the Bush tax cuts. All this is happening in the face
of the start of the Baby Boomer retirements and the continued collapse
of the housing market.
Of course business is not hiring enough people to get Americans back to work with a jobs recovery to this never-ending
recession. With Obama destroying the business climate, nothing will
change and nothing will change Obama. He is a dyed-in-the-wool
socialist. He is fundamentally anti-business, with the exception of
those who generously support his campaign fund. Even then many of those
companies have found him unbelievably treacherous. The only hope for
our economy and for Americans who want to be able to earn a living is
the replacement of Obama with Romney.
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